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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-1.24+2.00vs Predicted
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2American University-2.08+2.89vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-2.71+3.54vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-2.89+3.03vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-3.23+2.86vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.92-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.31-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.96-0.93vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-3.61-0.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.36-1.89vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-2.71-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-6.03vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-3.64-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Drexel University-1.240.3%1st Place
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4.89American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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6.54Virginia Tech-2.710.1%1st Place
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7.03Rutgers University-2.890.0%1st Place
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7.86Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.45Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Maryland-2.310.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Delaware-2.960.1%1st Place
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8.79St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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6.54Virginia Tech-2.710.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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8.96Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Randle | 27.2% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Morrison | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Morrison | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.