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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.29+2.74vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.34+4.24vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-2.23+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.60+3.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.92+0.18vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.24-2.46vs Predicted
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7American University-2.08-1.51vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-2.23-2.02vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-1.32vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-3.23-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-4.54vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.40-2.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-3.36-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
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6.24Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Delaware-2.600.0%1st Place
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5.18Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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3.54Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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5.49American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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7.68Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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8.54Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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9.14St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 20.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 21.6% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.