← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-2.08+4.65vs Predicted
-
2Rutgers University-2.34+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-2.23+3.01vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.24-0.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-1.29-1.34vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-2.23+0.01vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-2.90-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-1.92-3.89vs Predicted
-
10St. John's College-3.40-1.04vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Military Academy-3.36-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Monmouth University-3.23-3.22vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-2.60-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65American University-2.080.1%1st Place
-
6.28Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.01Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
-
3.57Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
-
3.66University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
-
6.01Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.64Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.11Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
-
8.96St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
-
8.81U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.78Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
-
6.98University of Delaware-2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Shrum | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 20.3% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 19.7% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.