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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.71+5.95vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.29+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.17vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.24-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90+1.42vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.92-2.25vs Predicted
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8American University-2.08-2.85vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.23-0.88vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.89-2.71vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-2.71-4.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.36-3.32vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-3.61-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Virginia Tech-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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3.31Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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7.42Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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4.75Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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5.15American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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8.12Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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7.29Rutgers University-2.890.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech-2.710.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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9.18St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Morrison | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 19.6% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 23.3% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Morrison | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.