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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.71+5.96vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.29+1.41vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.24+0.25vs Predicted
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4American University-2.08+1.28vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.92-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+0.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.36+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.96-0.54vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.89-2.67vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-3.23-2.59vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-2.71-5.04vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-3.61-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Virginia Tech-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
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3.25Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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5.28American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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4.82Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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7.27Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.33Rutgers University-2.890.1%1st Place
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8.41Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.96Virginia Tech-2.710.0%1st Place
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9.21St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Morrison | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 24.4% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Morrison | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.