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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.15+4.91vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-2.31+4.30vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-2.34+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+2.69vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.24-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.17-2.47vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.92-1.80vs Predicted
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8American University-2.08-2.36vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-2.15-3.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.36-1.05vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-2.90-3.24vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-3.23-3.18vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-3.40-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland-2.310.1%1st Place
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6.41Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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3.65Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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5.2Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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5.64American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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5.91Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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7.76Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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8.82Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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9.13St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 20.4% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 21.9% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.