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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.15+4.94vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.17+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.71vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.24-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.31+1.30vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.34+0.39vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90+0.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.92-2.78vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-2.15-3.06vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-3.40-0.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.36-2.10vs Predicted
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12American University-2.08-6.18vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.23-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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6.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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3.67Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland-2.310.1%1st Place
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6.39Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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7.73Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.22Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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9.04St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.82American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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8.74Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 19.9% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 12.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.