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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.15+4.85vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.29+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.52vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.24-0.39vs Predicted
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5American University-1.50-0.82vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90+1.77vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.92-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.60-1.18vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.23-0.56vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-2.15-4.15vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.61-1.64vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.89-4.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-3.36-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
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6.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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3.61Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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4.18American University-1.500.2%1st Place
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7.77Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.1Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Delaware-2.600.1%1st Place
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8.44Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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5.85Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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9.36St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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7.82Rutgers University-2.890.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 17.6% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 21.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.