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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.29+2.76vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-2.15+3.75vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-3.23+5.52vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.60+0.98vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.24-3.42vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.90-0.42vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.89-1.38vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.92-4.85vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.61-1.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.36-3.11vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-2.15-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
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5.75Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
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8.52Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.16American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Delaware-2.600.1%1st Place
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3.58Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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7.58Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.62Rutgers University-2.890.0%1st Place
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5.15Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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9.48St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.75Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 19.3% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 22.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.