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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.59+3.41vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.97vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.77-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.26vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.61-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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2.85Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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3.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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4.79McGill University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.74University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.78Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Green | 10.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 14.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 25.4% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| William Delong | 17.1% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 22.8% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 19.1% |
| Sean Lund | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 6.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.