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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.77+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.73vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+0.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.94vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-3.13vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.61-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66McGill University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
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3.73University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.51Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.87Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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5.79Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Muller | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
| William Delong | 17.7% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Sean Lund | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Colby Green | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 24.0% | 14.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 22.4% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 27.0% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 17.1% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.