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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.77+3.27vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.54vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-0.54vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.61-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27McGill University-0.770.1%1st Place
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2.63Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
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2.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.46University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.46Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.28Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Muller | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 26.2% | 20.5% | 6.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 28.1% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| William Delong | 19.1% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 24.9% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lund | 14.0% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 39.8% | 24.1% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 19.2% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.