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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+1.63vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.42vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.77+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.81vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-0.58vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.61-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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2.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.3%1st Place
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3.42University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.34McGill University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
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5.42Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.29Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 29.8% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 25.7% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Lund | 14.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Cecilia Muller | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 21.7% | 6.0% |
| William Delong | 17.6% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 38.9% | 23.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 18.2% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.