← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.43+0.84vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.59+1.46vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.95vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.77-0.20vs Predicted
-
6Amherst College-1.61-0.10vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.13-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
-
2.84Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
-
4.46Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
-
4.8McGill University-0.770.1%1st Place
-
5.9Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
-
3.62University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 19.7% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 25.0% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Colby Green | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 13.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 22.0% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Cecilia Muller | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 25.1% | 18.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 56.0% |
| Sean Lund | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.