← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.21vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.93-0.26vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-3.28-1.06vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-4.30-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of New Hampshire-0.260.3%1st Place
-
1.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.5%1st Place
-
2.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
-
3.74Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
4.94Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
-
5.61Amherst College-4.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Richardsson | 28.2% | 36.6% | 25.1% | 8.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 51.2% | 28.9% | 16.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 14.8% | 21.4% | 37.3% | 23.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 4.7% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 47.8% | 19.3% | 2.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 13.2% | 53.2% | 26.3% |
| Zoe Sachs | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 23.3% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.