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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.82vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.93-0.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.25vs Predicted
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6Bates College-3.28-1.06vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-4.30-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.18University of New Hampshire-0.260.3%1st Place
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3.7Middlebury College-1.930.1%1st Place
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1.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.5%1st Place
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4.94Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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5.61Amherst College-4.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Latham | 14.9% | 20.2% | 38.9% | 20.3% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 29.7% | 34.2% | 25.5% | 9.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 48.6% | 18.6% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 47.7% | 34.4% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.2% | 1.2% | 5.3% | 13.0% | 53.3% | 26.0% |
| Zoe Sachs | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 21.7% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.