Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Brown 13.9% 15.8% 14.8% 14.1% 13.7% 11.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Toby Sullivan 22.0% 19.4% 17.2% 13.8% 10.8% 8.8% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Laura Smith 8.3% 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 12.9% 11.9% 13.6% 11.8% 8.1% 3.6%
Asher Green 16.5% 15.6% 14.1% 13.7% 12.0% 11.5% 9.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Maren Behnke 3.0% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.3% 10.3% 13.7% 21.1% 26.3%
Mason Chapman 2.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 14.2% 19.9% 27.4%
Cameron Turner 18.1% 16.0% 16.2% 15.9% 12.8% 10.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 7.4% 8.3% 9.4% 10.0% 11.8% 13.4% 14.0% 12.7% 8.3% 4.8%
Eric Johnson 4.3% 4.4% 4.9% 5.8% 8.1% 11.1% 13.2% 15.2% 17.1% 16.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 12.1% 16.2% 18.2% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.