← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.19vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-3.28-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Amherst College-4.30-0.37vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-1.93-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of New Hampshire-0.260.3%1st Place
-
1.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.5%1st Place
-
2.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
-
4.88Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
-
5.63Amherst College-4.300.0%1st Place
-
3.79Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Richardsson | 28.6% | 35.3% | 26.2% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 51.6% | 30.1% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 14.4% | 21.8% | 37.0% | 22.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 13.0% | 55.5% | 22.9% |
| Zoe Sachs | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 18.4% | 74.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 4.6% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 47.5% | 20.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.