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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.20vs Predicted
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5Bates College-3.28-0.13vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93-2.16vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-4.30-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.5%1st Place
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2.13University of New Hampshire-0.260.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.87Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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3.84Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.61Amherst College-4.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 47.8% | 33.6% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 32.5% | 32.7% | 25.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 14.6% | 21.4% | 38.1% | 21.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 15.8% | 53.4% | 22.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 4.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 45.8% | 20.6% | 4.5% |
| Zoe Sachs | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 5.7% | 19.7% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.