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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+5.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+3.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+1.76vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+2.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-0.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.93+0.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+3.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.22-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.24-5.00vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.89-1.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-1.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.45-5.06vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.25-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.3Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.55Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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12.9George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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11.59Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clark Morris | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 25.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.