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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+6.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+3.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+3.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+2.58vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-0.53vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.22+2.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.24-2.95vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.22vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.70vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-6.23vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-4.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.93-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.31Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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12.85George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 25.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 25.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Clark Morris | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.