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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+12.07vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+8.51vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.22+8.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+2.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+1.22vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.89+6.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-1.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.77-3.03vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-3.57vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.87-5.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.93-3.13vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.35-5.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.85vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-6.38vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.41-5.13vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.15-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.07Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.51Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.79George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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8.62Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.87Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 23.8% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 18.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 14.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 23.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Max Teo | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.