Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Smith 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 10.8% 12.6% 12.8% 13.6% 12.2% 8.1% 4.1%
Toby Sullivan 23.8% 20.1% 16.8% 13.8% 10.3% 7.3% 4.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 7.2% 6.9% 8.9% 11.0% 11.5% 14.4% 14.3% 12.3% 8.3% 5.1%
Eric Johnson 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 8.5% 9.8% 13.3% 15.2% 16.9% 14.8%
Maren Behnke 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 8.1% 11.0% 13.4% 21.1% 24.6%
Asher Green 14.1% 15.3% 15.8% 14.6% 12.7% 11.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
Cameron Turner 18.4% 19.4% 15.8% 14.0% 12.4% 9.9% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Tyler Brown 14.4% 14.0% 15.6% 14.0% 14.2% 10.8% 8.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Gerrit Bittmann 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.9% 10.9% 16.0% 19.1% 21.6%
Mason Chapman 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 7.2% 9.9% 15.0% 20.7% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.