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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.26vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+3.29vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.38vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.65-0.28vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.50+1.79vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49+3.60vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.07+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.42vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.45+0.78vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.21-2.49vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-2.04vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.23-0.55vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.22-0.52vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College0.20-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.72Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.79Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.6Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.83Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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10.78Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.51Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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9.96Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.45Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.05Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.53Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 24.7% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 12.4% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 18.9% | 53.1% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.