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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+7.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+4.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+4.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+1.80vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00+3.62vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+1.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-1.49vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-1.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.24-2.91vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.41-1.00vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.89-0.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62-0.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.45-4.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.62Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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11.0Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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12.93George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.67Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Mason Stang | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Teo | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 29.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 22.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.