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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+5.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+11.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+4.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+2.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+1.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63+0.30vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.23+7.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-0.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.93-0.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-2.73vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.22+0.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-6.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-3.28vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.15-7.07vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.41-5.23vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.15Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.25George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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10.77Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 21.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 36.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 7.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Kate Danielson | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Max Teo | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.