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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+6.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+3.63vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+3.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.22+7.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00+3.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+1.30vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35+0.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.93+0.59vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.24-2.52vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62+2.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.78vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23+1.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-3.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.15-7.98vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.41-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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13.32Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.22Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.3George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 23.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 37.8% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| Kate Danielson | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Max Teo | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.