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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+4.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+3.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+5.26vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08+1.86vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+1.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28+3.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09-1.10vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+4.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.83-0.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.75-4.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-3.85vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.83-7.04vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.36-6.12vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.66-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.48Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.12Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.9Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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10.15Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.96Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Whidden | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 42.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% |
| Max Sigel | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.