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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+3.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+6.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+6.16vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+2.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.09+1.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.37-0.94vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+1.62vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+1.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.08-3.07vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.66+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.75-3.67vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.83-4.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.39-4.16vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.61vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.83-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.16Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.19Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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12.42Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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14.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| Max Sigel | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 43.3% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.