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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+8.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.37+3.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.42+1.80vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83+5.88vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+1.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.18vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-2.92vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.66+0.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-3.70vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-6.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.67vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.08Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.31Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.37Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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14.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 12.0% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whidden | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 43.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.