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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.10vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.84+2.01vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.19+1.52vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.51vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.66+1.60vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.12-3.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-1.44vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.36-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Hampton University1.4714.3%1st Place
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4.01Princeton University0.8414.5%1st Place
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3.57Rochester Institute of Technology1.0619.9%1st Place
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5.52Washington College0.197.0%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University-0.847.5%1st Place
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7.6Syracuse University-0.663.0%1st Place
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3.3Drexel University1.1223.1%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Virginia-0.782.6%1st Place
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6.76William and Mary-0.364.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Asher Green | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Cameron Turner | 19.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
Laura Smith | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
Maren Behnke | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 26.8% |
Toby Sullivan | 23.1% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
Mason Chapman | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 28.5% |
Eric Johnson | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.