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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Valerio Palamara 14.3% 15.5% 13.8% 14.6% 14.3% 10.5% 9.0% 5.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Asher Green 14.5% 15.0% 16.0% 16.2% 13.2% 9.3% 7.5% 5.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Cameron Turner 19.9% 17.1% 16.6% 14.4% 12.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 10.8% 11.9% 14.2% 13.3% 12.6% 8.5% 4.3%
Laura Smith 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 9.2% 11.6% 13.7% 15.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.3%
Maren Behnke 3.0% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.9% 11.2% 15.3% 20.1% 26.8%
Toby Sullivan 23.1% 19.1% 17.5% 13.9% 10.0% 8.4% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Gerrit Bittmann 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 6.9% 9.2% 11.2% 14.5% 19.1% 19.8%
Mason Chapman 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.9% 8.2% 9.0% 14.0% 19.7% 28.5%
Eric Johnson 4.0% 6.7% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 9.3% 13.6% 16.0% 17.0% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.