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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.83+10.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+7.86vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.09+3.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.37+1.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.83+2.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+3.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.42-1.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+5.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+0.27vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.27-0.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-0.95vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.75-4.77vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-8.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66-2.77vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-6.27vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.08-10.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.73Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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13.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 40.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Max Sigel | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Whidden | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.