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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+4.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.83+5.66vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+6.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+5.07vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.27+4.74vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.37-0.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+2.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-2.39vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.83+0.64vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.08-5.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-3.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+0.26vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.28-5.15vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.09-9.24vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.66-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.95Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.85Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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12.21Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Robert Finora | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 43.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.