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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+4.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.09+4.65vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.68vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+5.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.42+0.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.83+1.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83+3.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28+1.03vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.08-3.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.66+1.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-2.61vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.27-2.92vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-6.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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10.03Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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12.24Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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14.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Cam Spriggs | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Robert Finora | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.