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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.09+5.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.37+2.83vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+5.59vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+4.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.42-0.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+0.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+1.04vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37-0.51vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.27-0.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.83-0.33vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.75-4.79vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.08-7.04vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.28-5.06vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.66-3.67vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.88Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.94Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.33Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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14.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Max Sigel | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| Robert Finora | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.