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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.83+7.73vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08+1.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28+4.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09-0.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-2.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+0.91vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.66+2.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.42-5.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.38-2.40vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.83-4.98vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-6.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.27vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-6.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.25Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.02Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 15.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Robert Finora | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.