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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Valerio Palamara 13.9% 14.2% 14.8% 15.2% 13.8% 11.1% 8.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Toby Sullivan 21.9% 21.2% 16.1% 14.8% 11.4% 7.3% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 19.1% 18.3% 16.2% 15.2% 11.8% 9.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Joseph Bonacci 6.8% 7.3% 9.9% 9.8% 11.1% 12.8% 13.4% 13.7% 10.7% 4.5%
Asher Green 16.9% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 12.8% 12.0% 7.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Mason Chapman 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 7.0% 8.2% 10.5% 13.3% 20.1% 25.6%
Maren Behnke 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.3% 11.5% 13.4% 18.6% 27.0%
Laura Smith 7.9% 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 12.0% 11.9% 14.8% 10.9% 8.6% 4.4%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.0% 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 5.7% 8.8% 10.8% 16.2% 18.6% 21.8%
Eric Johnson 4.9% 4.4% 6.0% 5.8% 8.1% 9.9% 13.4% 16.1% 16.4% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.