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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.15vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.12+1.28vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.19+1.68vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.78+1.44vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.66+0.45vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.59vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-1.78vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.36-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Hampton University1.4713.9%1st Place
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3.28Drexel University1.1221.9%1st Place
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3.57Rochester Institute of Technology1.0619.1%1st Place
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5.68Washington College0.196.8%1st Place
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4.06Princeton University0.8416.9%1st Place
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7.44University of Virginia-0.782.4%1st Place
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7.45Syracuse University-0.663.3%1st Place
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5.41Christopher Newport University-0.847.9%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.673.0%1st Place
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6.75William and Mary-0.364.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Toby Sullivan | 21.9% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Cameron Turner | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Joseph Bonacci | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
Asher Green | 16.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Mason Chapman | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 25.6% |
Maren Behnke | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 27.0% |
Laura Smith | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 21.8% |
Eric Johnson | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.