Race 7A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 26.8% 18.8% 17.6% 12.8% 10.0% 6.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Hammett 3.2% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 9.4% 8.6% 10.0% 10.5% 13.4% 13.6% 9.6% 4.1%
Joseph Bonacci 7.5% 7.2% 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 9.7% 13.4% 12.2% 11.6% 6.9% 3.5% 1.5%
Berkley Yiu 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 9.8% 10.2% 13.2% 13.5% 16.5% 9.9%
Matias Martin 14.7% 15.0% 15.2% 12.5% 11.7% 10.4% 7.2% 6.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 12.0% 11.7% 11.1% 10.8% 8.7% 6.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Oscar Gilroy 3.6% 2.8% 3.2% 5.5% 4.3% 6.7% 7.6% 9.7% 9.7% 18.0% 17.1% 11.8%
Noah Hemingway 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 10.6% 10.7% 12.0% 10.4% 7.5% 5.7% 2.0%
Elizabeth Frost 10.7% 13.0% 11.7% 12.7% 12.2% 11.6% 9.4% 8.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0%
James Owen 12.5% 14.3% 12.6% 13.9% 12.3% 9.7% 10.1% 5.7% 4.2% 4.1% 0.4% 0.2%
William Mullray 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.9% 4.9% 8.3% 10.0% 14.0% 22.9% 23.6%
Tess Halpern 0.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 8.3% 10.7% 19.0% 46.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.