Race 9A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.1% 20.8% 17.0% 12.3% 10.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matias Martin 13.8% 15.1% 13.4% 13.4% 11.2% 10.6% 9.9% 5.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Jack Hammett 5.8% 3.2% 5.6% 6.8% 9.0% 7.3% 8.4% 11.9% 14.3% 12.8% 10.0% 4.9%
James Owen 11.7% 13.0% 13.7% 13.2% 10.7% 12.3% 8.1% 7.3% 5.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
Noah Hemingway 6.5% 7.7% 7.6% 9.0% 10.5% 10.6% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2% 8.1% 5.8% 3.0%
Berkley Yiu 2.8% 3.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 5.9% 7.8% 10.5% 10.1% 16.2% 16.4% 12.1%
Joseph Bonacci 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 11.0% 10.4% 10.5% 11.8% 9.1% 7.7% 4.6% 2.0%
Oscar Gilroy 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.2% 10.8% 15.1% 18.2% 14.6%
Elizabeth Frost 10.0% 12.3% 13.1% 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 9.7% 8.2% 6.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Rem Johannknecht 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.7% 12.1% 18.5% 32.9%
Nathaniel Hartwell 7.8% 8.0% 8.5% 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 12.2% 10.8% 9.5% 6.3% 4.0% 1.3%
William Mullray 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 2.9% 2.2% 3.7% 6.5% 6.7% 9.2% 14.4% 19.2% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.