Race 10A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 25.9% 21.3% 18.3% 12.2% 9.4% 5.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Hemingway 6.1% 7.0% 7.8% 10.2% 9.5% 10.1% 11.9% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 4.6% 2.5%
Nathaniel Hartwell 8.5% 9.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 11.0% 11.2% 11.9% 9.9% 6.3% 2.6% 1.1%
Joseph Bonacci 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 10.4% 11.9% 9.8% 10.4% 9.5% 7.1% 6.5% 2.4%
Elizabeth Frost 11.3% 11.6% 11.1% 11.3% 11.6% 11.9% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Rem Johannknecht 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 3.0% 7.4% 8.2% 12.7% 19.0% 33.3%
Matias Martin 15.4% 15.2% 13.5% 14.5% 10.5% 9.4% 7.9% 6.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Oscar Gilroy 1.9% 4.2% 4.8% 3.6% 4.7% 6.0% 8.6% 7.8% 11.5% 14.3% 17.0% 15.6%
Jack Hammett 4.7% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 9.4% 8.8% 10.4% 13.3% 12.0% 11.9% 7.6% 5.4%
William Mullray 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 2.2% 4.4% 3.4% 7.0% 6.0% 9.4% 13.1% 20.6% 26.1%
Berkley Yiu 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 7.1% 7.6% 9.5% 12.4% 14.1% 17.7% 12.5%
James Owen 13.1% 12.1% 13.3% 13.5% 11.2% 10.2% 9.0% 7.8% 5.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.