Race 12A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matias Martin 14.1% 13.8% 14.5% 14.0% 11.6% 11.7% 7.7% 5.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Everett Botwinick 26.7% 22.6% 16.2% 13.6% 7.0% 6.4% 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Owen 12.9% 12.3% 14.2% 11.7% 12.9% 10.8% 10.3% 7.2% 4.6% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Jack Hammett 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 11.4% 14.5% 10.7% 5.3%
Joseph Bonacci 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 11.2% 9.2% 9.0% 11.6% 9.3% 10.8% 7.3% 5.4% 2.8%
Elizabeth Frost 10.5% 11.8% 10.9% 12.3% 12.8% 8.9% 9.9% 9.7% 6.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Rem Johannknecht 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 3.5% 6.3% 6.0% 8.6% 11.2% 19.0% 33.0%
Oscar Gilroy 2.9% 3.9% 4.7% 3.0% 5.4% 5.5% 6.4% 9.8% 10.9% 14.2% 17.0% 16.3%
William Mullray 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.8% 6.6% 8.5% 8.5% 14.8% 19.2% 25.2%
Berkley Yiu 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.9% 9.9% 12.2% 14.7% 15.7% 12.1%
Nathaniel Hartwell 7.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.6% 11.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.0% 6.9% 3.9% 1.4%
Noah Hemingway 7.2% 6.3% 6.9% 9.6% 9.5% 11.9% 9.6% 11.2% 11.5% 8.7% 5.2% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.