Race 13A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 26.4% 22.4% 15.9% 13.2% 9.0% 4.9% 4.4% 1.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Hammett 3.6% 4.9% 7.4% 5.1% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.8% 14.2% 12.9% 9.5% 6.4%
Matias Martin 15.0% 13.4% 14.3% 11.0% 14.2% 10.2% 9.8% 5.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Elizabeth Frost 9.0% 11.8% 12.3% 14.1% 10.0% 11.5% 9.3% 8.9% 6.6% 4.0% 1.5% 1.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 9.3% 11.5% 10.8% 9.4% 8.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.5%
James Owen 14.1% 12.0% 11.0% 13.3% 13.1% 10.5% 9.4% 7.6% 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 7.9% 7.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.0% 10.1% 10.5% 11.4% 9.8% 7.6% 5.2% 1.9%
Rem Johannknecht 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 5.3% 6.8% 8.0% 11.0% 19.2% 33.3%
Noah Hemingway 6.4% 7.2% 9.0% 9.8% 11.1% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 11.3% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7%
Oscar Gilroy 3.4% 3.9% 3.1% 3.3% 5.1% 5.7% 7.2% 9.4% 11.6% 16.4% 16.4% 14.5%
William Mullray 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 7.3% 7.8% 14.4% 21.7% 27.3%
Berkley Yiu 2.8% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 7.6% 8.1% 10.7% 12.3% 15.0% 16.4% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.