Race 14A

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 24.5% 23.1% 17.2% 13.0% 9.1% 6.1% 3.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Owen 11.4% 13.7% 13.0% 13.7% 13.1% 9.9% 9.8% 7.1% 4.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 9.3% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 11.0% 11.6% 11.7% 9.9% 10.1% 6.6% 3.3% 0.9%
Elizabeth Frost 9.6% 11.7% 11.5% 12.2% 12.4% 10.7% 9.8% 9.2% 6.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.8%
Joseph Bonacci 7.3% 6.2% 9.6% 8.3% 11.1% 9.9% 11.0% 11.5% 9.6% 7.8% 5.4% 2.3%
Rem Johannknecht 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 6.0% 8.4% 12.1% 19.7% 34.0%
Noah Hemingway 7.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 12.6% 10.1% 10.4% 8.3% 4.6% 2.7%
Matias Martin 17.1% 14.8% 12.7% 13.0% 11.2% 10.5% 7.9% 5.7% 3.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Jack Hammett 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 8.0% 8.3% 10.2% 9.6% 10.6% 13.3% 12.9% 8.7% 4.3%
Oscar Gilroy 3.3% 3.0% 4.4% 3.5% 3.7% 7.3% 6.5% 9.4% 11.6% 14.6% 18.5% 14.2%
Berkley Yiu 3.1% 2.7% 3.5% 5.6% 5.4% 5.8% 8.3% 10.3% 11.9% 13.2% 17.2% 13.0%
William Mullray 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 2.6% 4.2% 5.3% 8.1% 10.1% 14.2% 19.0% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.