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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.50+6.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.58vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.41vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.65-0.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.71vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.21+1.59vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.49+2.47vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.75vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07-0.99vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University0.45-0.32vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-2.03vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.22+1.45vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.48-1.01vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.20-3.50vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.23-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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6.41Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.69Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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3.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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8.59Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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10.47Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.25Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.68Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.97Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.99Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.5Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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12.61Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gene Merewether | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| George Prieto | 17.2% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 19.9% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 23.4% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Edward Titcomb | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Edgar Girtain | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 52.7% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 19.5% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.