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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+2.34vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.12+0.48vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.35vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84-0.86vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.66+1.58vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.19-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.78-0.31vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-1.71vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.36-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Christopher Newport University0.7314.3%1st Place
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4.34Hampton University1.4712.4%1st Place
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3.48Drexel University1.1220.8%1st Place
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3.65Rochester Institute of Technology1.0619.1%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University0.8415.4%1st Place
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7.58Syracuse University-0.662.7%1st Place
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5.74Washington College0.196.2%1st Place
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7.69University of Virginia-0.782.4%1st Place
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7.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.672.9%1st Place
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6.87William and Mary-0.363.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bendura | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Valerio Palamara | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
Toby Sullivan | 20.8% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Cameron Turner | 19.1% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Asher Green | 15.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Maren Behnke | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 26.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
Mason Chapman | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 28.1% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
Eric Johnson | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.