← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Texas0.28+4.36vs Predicted
-
20.07+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Williams College-0.60+4.80vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.37+3.14vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+3.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan0.05-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-2.96vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University0.01-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.15-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-2.49vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.45-6.05vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.80-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.910.070.1%1st Place
-
7.8Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
-
7.14SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
-
4.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
-
5.97Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.32Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
7.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
-
4.95Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
8.36Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Aubrey Walton | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 26.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Sam Carson | 18.4% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Upton | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.