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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.28+4.38vs Predicted
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20.07+3.85vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.05+2.91vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.37+3.15vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45-0.15vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+1.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.01-1.08vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.15-1.60vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.60-1.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-5.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-2.12vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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5.850.070.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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7.15SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.85Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.4Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.64Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.36Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Robert Upton | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
| Sam Carson | 16.9% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 26.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.