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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+3.16vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+5.60vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+2.34vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.45+0.85vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15+1.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.01+0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-2.16vs Predicted
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90.07-3.31vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.60-2.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.37-3.73vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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7.6Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.85Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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6.51Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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5.690.070.1%1st Place
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7.69Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.27SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.38Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Carson | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Robert Upton | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 25.4% |
| Samuel Stephens | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.