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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.28+4.41vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+2.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+5.78vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+3.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.01+1.05vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.45-1.17vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-2.18vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.69vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.90vs Predicted
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110.07-5.00vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.05Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.83Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.61Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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6.31Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.1SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.00.070.1%1st Place
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8.37Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Sam Carson | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 28.2% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Robert Upton | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Stephens | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Marc Leyk | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.