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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.05+5.09vs Predicted
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20.07+3.96vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.15+3.62vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.28+0.36vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+1.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.01-1.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+0.73vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.86vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.60-2.28vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.45-5.95vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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5.960.070.1%1st Place
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6.62Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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7.74Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.72Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.05Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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8.44Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stephens | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Sam Carson | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| Robert Upton | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 28.4% |
| Luke Barker | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.