← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
10.07+5.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Texas0.28+3.36vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.01+3.16vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+0.13vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+2.62vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University0.45-1.11vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+1.68vs Predicted
-
8Williams College-0.60-0.29vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan0.05-4.04vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.80-2.41vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.15-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.10.070.1%1st Place
-
5.36University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
-
6.16Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
-
7.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
-
4.89Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
8.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.71Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
-
6.19SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.96University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
-
8.59Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.61Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Leyk | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Robert Upton | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Sam Carson | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 12.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 26.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% |
| Luke Barker | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Stephens | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 23.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.