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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+3.13vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+5.57vs Predicted
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30.07+2.92vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.15+2.53vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.05+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.28-0.68vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.45-2.26vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.60-0.35vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-1.28vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.80-2.57vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.01-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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7.57Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.920.070.1%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.74Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.65Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.43Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.08Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Carson | 17.6% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Marc Leyk | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.4% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Aubrey Walton | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 26.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 21.8% |
| Robert Upton | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.